Gazprom's (GAZP.RS) projection of 2013 exports to Europe of 152 billion cubic meters, against 139 billion in 2012, may prove too high, says Sberbank Investment Research. It notes exports may reach 147 billion cubic meters on the back of declining output in Europe . "However, it is worth noting that the utilities economics that have increasingly been pricing gas out of the market in Europe have not abated--indeed, quite the opposite," says Sberbank. It rates Gazprom at hold with a target price of $6.50. Shares are down 0.5% at RUB137.04.