Greek shipping magnates, still the kingmakers of the global shipbuilding trade, are increasingly moving their financing and ship orders to China, drawn by cheap credit and lower shipyard costs.
Greek shipping magnates, still the kingmakers of the global shipbuilding
trade, are increasingly moving their financing and ship orders to
China
,
drawn by cheap credit and lower shipyard costs.
The move is a big shift in an industry that had amassed $279.5 billion in
orders this year at the end of August. Greek shippers operate 16% of the
world's fleet of dry-bulk and container vessels, and about a quarter of all oil
tankers. By cutting costs aggressively, they have weathered the global economic
crisis better than many of their German, Scandinavian and Japanese
competitors--holding on to market share despite a sharp slowdown in international
trade since 2008.
Now, with much of the world emerging from the worst of the crisis, Greek
shippers have embarked on a capacity-buying binge. As the biggest and most
influential buyers of new ships--heavily courted by shipbuilders in places like
Japan
and
South
Korea
--their growing Chinese orders
could influence other global buyers.
For years, Greek shippers financed new vessels with loans from European banks,
then placed orders with shipyards in
Japan
and
Korea
. Less
than five years ago, Greek orders for Chinese-built ships were less than half
those they made for Korean-built vessels. That gap is closing fast.
As of the end of September, Greek shipowners had ordered 188 vessels from
Chinese yards, compared with 217 from Korea, according to Athens-based XRTC
Business Consultants, whose numbers are closely watched in the industry.
Japan
is a
distant third with 39 ships ordered.
And in some markets--for instance, for bulk carriers--
China
is
now far ahead. Greek shippers ordered 46 such ships from
China
,
according to XRTC, compared with 13 Korean orders.
Angeliki Frangou, chairman and chief executive of New York-listed Navios
Maritime Holdings, said Chinese yards are offering highly competitive deals at
a time when Greek shippers are bulking up their fleet.
"If you have a strong balance sheet you place orders at the lowest point
of the [business] cycle," she said.
Korean yards still have the upper hand in building specialized vessels like
liquefied natural-gas carriers and offshore oil-drill ships. "But the
Chinese are catching up fast," said XRTC's Managing Director George
Xiradakis, who also advises China Development Bank.
A big part of the shift is down to financing. Greek shippers' global operations
and international financing helped insulate them from the worst of the economic
crisis in
Greece
. But
western banks have become much more leery of lending to anyone since then.
Chinese banks stepped into the void, offering cheap and easy financing. Theodore
Veniamis, president of the Greek Shipowners Association, said many Greek owners
now get up to 70% of a loan from a Chinese bank with the remainder coming from
a European or a
U.S.
lender.
To be sure, Chinese lenders have pared back amid government efforts to reign in
credit. But so far, shipbuilding loans are still relatively easy to come by,
especially if a western bank participates in the financing.
"Even with tighter credit directives coming from
Beijing
lately, it will be rare for a Greek application to be turned down," said a
senior ship-financing executive at a major Chinese bank, who asked not to be
named.
At the same time, Chinese yards have become a quicker and cheaper place to
build, amid capacity constraints in traditional yards in
Japan
and
South
Korea
.
China
's
shipyards offer prices on average 10% and 15% less than rivals in
South
Korea
and
Japan
,
respectively, industry officials say. And quality is improving.
The budding Sino-Greek shipping partnership dates back to 2010 when
China
's
then-Premier Wen Jiabao, while on a visit to
Athens
,
offered $5 billion in soft loans to Greek shipowners if they opted for
China
's
yards to build new vessels.
The global shipping industry is paying the price for Greek shipowners' binge on
cheap Chinese credit and shipyard capacity. Analysts estimate that there is
about 35% more container vessels than needed plying routes or anchored unused. Crude
tanker and bulk carrier overcapacity, meanwhile, hovers at about 28% and 25%,
respectively.
"The Greeks are the world's dominant buyers both in terms of new and used
vessels so they are contributing to the glut," said Jonathan Roach, senior
analyst at London-based Braemar Securities Ltd.
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